|
The Bull's horn shrunk with the Bear pouncing on last Monday to Tuesday and led to what we have been anticipating as a breakdown of the bearish rising-wedge pattern in the DJIA. Support level 11,450 was broken last Tuesday. Mid-week transactions failed to quickly recover. Friday's 197-point climb to go above 11,450 was nothing but a small knee-jerk reaction to a fundamental LEH buy out. Volume transactions were low. We remain skeptical on this 1-day rally and perceive the market to go to sideways to down trend movement in the short-term.
The target of the current break down is at 10,800. This is as well the most significant support of the market.
Outlook of DJIA: Short-Term : Sideways to Down Mid-Term : Sideways Long-Term : Down Initial Support : 11,240 Second Support : 11,086 Major Support : 10,732 NASDAQ takes pride in its climb by responsively climbing back into its short-term up trend. However, due to market participation, we may expect buying to taper off in a week or two. Notably, the long-term down trend line puts a strong resistance to the Bulls. This is the major trend that dictates where NASDAQ is going for the long haul.
Outlook of NASDAQ: Short-Term : Up to Sideways (more sideways) Mid-Term : Sideways Long-Term : Down Initial Support : 2,360 Second Support : 2,258 Major Support : 2,167 Last, and certainly the least performing is S&P 500 which also broke down from the bearish rising-wedge and failed to climb back. Target is set at about 1,230 level.
Outlook of S&P 500: Short-Term : Sideways to Down Mid-Term : Sideways Long-Term : Down Initial Support : 1,261 Second Support : 1,234 Major Support : 1,200 |